Brian Keenan On-Course Bookmaker INH Flat Race – Roscommon

Roscommon

20:30

Brian Keenan On-Course Bookmaker INH Flat Race

Date 2023-08-08

Distance 1m7f58y

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo

Prize €6,490

Winning Time 3m 40.10s (slow by 9.60s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Portcammon (IRE) Mr P W Mullins · W P Mullins	4/5F	Won
2nd	Jackson Lamb (IRE) Alex Harvey · John C McConnell	22/1	4.75
3rd	Smiling Bess (IRE) Mr Finian Maguire · Kevin Prendergast	15/2	4.75
4th	Upthereforthinking (IRE) Mr J Dunne · Gavin Cromwell	16/1	9
5th	L'Allier (FR) Mr Finn Buckley · Gavin Cromwell	16/1	5.5
6th	Highway Jack (GB) Mr H C Swan · Sean Thomas Doyle	18/1	.5
7th	Can't Resist It (GB) Mr J H Williamson · Denis Gerard Hogan	8/1	.5
8th	Pinky (IRE) Mr Derek O'Connor · Emmet Mullins	7/2	.5
9th	Fibonacci Square (GB) Mr R W Barron · Thomas Coyle	125/1	14
10th	Glen Kiln (IRE) Mr D Doyle · Michael J Bowe	40/1	0.2
11th	Sweet Maisie (IRE) Mr L P Shanahan · Luke Comer	125/1	4.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Portcammon Bay J:Mr P W Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Mr P W Mullins T:W P Mullins	164	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-34	17.9	0.20/1	4/5 56%
Flat-bred newcomer from leading stable that won this 12 months ago with a newcomer
10	Pinky Bay J:Mr Derek O'Connor T:Emmet Mullins	J:Mr Derek O'Connor T:Emmet Mullins	157	h	3	-	112	96	67d	—	—	-11	8.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Also hooded at Downpatrick (2m1f, good) where she was never far away and finished third
1	Cant Resist It Chestnut J:Mr J H Williamson(7) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Mr J H Williamson(7) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	164	—	5-4	-	110	80	19d	—	—	-8	3.1	1.50/1	7 14%
Travelled well when fourth behind three newcomers (unraced since) at Killarney
11	Smiling Bess Chestnut J:Mr Finian Maguire T:Kevin Prendergast	J:Mr Finian Maguire T:Kevin Prendergast	157	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Dam bumper/hurdle winner; rare bumper runner for Flat-orientated operation
4	Highway Jack Bay J:Mr H C Swan(5) T:Sean Thomas Doyle	J:Mr H C Swan(5) T:Sean Thomas Doyle	164	—	P-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Hard to recommend after pulling up on point debut earlier this year
9	Upthereforthinking Bay J:Mr J Dunne(7) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Mr J Dunne(7) T:Gavin Cromwell	164	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	4.25/1	18 6%
18,000euros 3yo; watch the market with stable running two newcomers
5	Jackson Lamb Chestnut J:Mr A Harvey(7) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Mr A Harvey(7) T:John C Mcconnell	164	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
A 9,500 euros 3yo; dam well beaten in a bumper; respected stable
7	Lallier Bay J:Mr Finn Buckley(7) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Mr Finn Buckley(7) T:Gavin Cromwell	164	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	6.00/1	25 4%
26,000euros 3yo; good jumping pedigree and yard wins bumpers
3	Glen Kiln Bay J:Mr D Doyle(7) T:Michael J Bowe	J:Mr D Doyle(7) T:Michael J Bowe	164	—	7	-	84	21	25d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Went off a single-digit price at Cork (yielding) but weakened late on to be beaten 25l
NR	Lake Manzaleh Bay J:TBC T:John Joseph Hanlon	J: T:John Joseph Hanlon	164	—	9	-	77	9	33d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Godolphin cast-off who was never seriously involved when 25-1 at Tipperary
2	Fibonacci Square Bay J:Mr R W Barron(7) T:Thomas Coyle	J:Mr R W Barron(7) T:Thomas Coyle	164	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
An 800gns yearling; third foal; unraced dam closely related to 8.6f AW winner Stay Silent
12	Sweet Maisie Bay J:Mr L P Shanahan(7) T:Luke Comer	J:Mr L P Shanahan(7) T:Luke Comer	157	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	37.25/1	150 1%
Dam unraced half-sister to 1m2f-1m5f winner Articilitist; probably best watched

Horse	bet365	Coral
Portcammon	4/5	8/11
Pinky	7/2	10/3
Cant Resist It	7	7
Smiling Bess	14	12
Highway Jack	20	20
Upthereforthinking	18	18
Jackson Lamb	18	22/1
Lallier	25	25
Glen Kiln	40	40/1
Lake Manzaleh	66	66
Fibonacci Square	66	80
Sweet Maisie	150	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Portcammon

17.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 17.9

4/5

2nd

Pinky

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Cant Resist It

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Smiling Bess

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Highway Jack

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Upthereforthinking

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Jackson Lamb

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Lallier

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Glen Kiln

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Lake Manzaleh

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Sweet Maisie

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

150

Fibonacci Square

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Portcammon	—	—	—
Pinky	—	112	96
Cant Resist It	—	110	80
Smiling Bess	—	—	—
Highway Jack	—	—	—
Upthereforthinking	—	—	—
Jackson Lamb	—	—	—
Lallier	—	—	—
Glen Kiln	—	84	21
Lake Manzaleh	—	77	9
Fibonacci Square	—	—	—
Sweet Maisie	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cant Resist It	19d ago	Fit
Glen Kiln	25d ago	Fit
Lake Manzaleh	33d ago	Fit
Pinky	67d ago	Fresh
Portcammon	—	—
Smiling Bess	—	—
Highway Jack	—	—
Upthereforthinking	—	—
Jackson Lamb	—	—
Lallier	—	—
Fibonacci Square	—	—
Sweet Maisie	—	—