William Hill Lengthen Your Odds EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Leicester

15:10

Date 2023-07-20

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,320

Winning Time 2m 10.55s (slow by 6.75s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	No Surrender (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Ed Dunlop	6/1	Won
2nd	Spectacular Style (GB) Ray Dawson · Roger Varian	4/9F	.75
3rd	Looksee (GB) Frederick Larson · Patrick Chamings	200/1	2.25
4th	Alshadhian (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	7/2	1.25
5th	First Cut (GB) Callum Shepherd · William Knight	100/1	4.75
6th	Medieval Gold (GB) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	18/1	0.3
7th	Governor Of India (GB) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden	16/1	2
8th	Nelson Bay (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Kevin Frost	250/1	3.25
9th	Cape Point (GB) Tom Eaves · Ivan Furtado	200/1	0.1
10th	Regency Boy (GB) Dougie Costello · Steph Hollinshead	66/1	4.5
11th	Balmy Breese (GB) Ben Sanderson · Sarah Hollinshead	300/1	4

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (5)	Spectacular Style Chestnut J:Ray Dawson T:Roger Varian	J:Ray Dawson T:Roger Varian	130	—	22	-	89	74	22d	—	—	-28	28.5	0.15/1	8/13 62%
Promise when second over 1m2f at Redcar and Salisbury; sets a clear standard
8 (1)	No Surrender Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed Dunlop	J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed Dunlop	130	—	3	-	83	-	56d	—	—	-11	8.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Likely to build on promising 1m AW debut third eight weeks ago
2 (3)	Alshadhian Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	130	—	4-	-	73	35	281d	—	—	-12	5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Understandably no match for King Of Steel on debut last year but showed promise in fourth
5 (7)	Governor Of India Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	130	b	49	-	80	51	27d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Went backwards from debut when last of nine at Newmarket; blinkers quickly reached for
6 (11)	Medieval Gold Black J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	130	—	56	-	76	35	29d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Failed to build on soft-ground debut when fifth on AW since but it's early days
4 (10)	First Cut Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:William Knight	J:Callum Shepherd T:William Knight	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
Related to winners but betting the best guide to expectations on debut
9 (4)	Regency Boy Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	130	p	4	-	71	13	69d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
100-1 but showed ability on heavy-ground debut in May; cheekpieces added now
11 (6)	Cape Point Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Ivan Furtado	J:Tom Eaves T:Ivan Furtado	125	—	6	-	58	38	27d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Always in rear on 1m2f Redcar debut four weeks ago
7 (9)	Nelson Bay Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Kevin Frost	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Kevin Frost	130	—	0-	-	19	-	218d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Well bred but beat only one home on sole run for Marcus Tregoning last December
1 (2)	Looksee Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Patrick Chamings	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Patrick Chamings	139	—	4	-	64	33	22d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Well held in two AW bumpers and beaten 13l when fourth on recent Flat debut
3 (8)	Balmy Breese Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Sarah Hollinshead	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Sarah Hollinshead	130	—	70	-	48	-	13d	—	—	0	0.1	124.75/1	500 0%
Well held in two outings over 7f in recent weeks

Horse	bet365	Coral
Spectacular Style	1/2	8/13
No Surrender	7/2	7/2
Alshadhian	9/2	4
Governor Of India	14	12
Medieval Gold	14	14
First Cut	150	80
Regency Boy	100	66
Cape Point	100	200
Nelson Bay	200	250
Looksee	200	200
Balmy Breese	500	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Spectacular Style

28.5

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 20

8/13

2nd

No Surrender

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Alshadhian

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Governor Of India

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Medieval Gold

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Regency Boy

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

First Cut

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Cape Point

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Nelson Bay

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Looksee

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Balmy Breese

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spectacular Style	—	89	74
No Surrender	—	83	—
Alshadhian	—	73	35
Governor Of India	—	80	51
Medieval Gold	—	76	35
First Cut	—	—	—
Regency Boy	—	71	13
Cape Point	—	58	38
Nelson Bay	—	19	—
Looksee	—	64	33
Balmy Breese	—	48	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Balmy Breese	13d ago	Quick return
Spectacular Style	22d ago	Fit
Looksee	22d ago	Fit
Governor Of India	27d ago	Fit
Cape Point	27d ago	Fit
Medieval Gold	29d ago	Fit
No Surrender	56d ago	Fresh
Regency Boy	69d ago	Fresh
Nelson Bay	218d ago	Long break
Alshadhian	281d ago	Long break
First Cut	—	—