weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap – Thirsk

Thirsk

15:10

weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap

Date 2023-06-09

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,187

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (6)	Hardy Angel Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	129	—	24-930	64	79	42	19d	—	—	-12	10.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Everything went wrong when well backed at Ripon last month; too soon to write him off
1 (9)	Just Janet Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	137	p	610-62	72	81	49	10d	—	—	-6	9.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two wins last year; improvement when 2nd at Leicester latest; new cheekpieces could help
3 (10)	Dear Daphne Bay J:David Egan T:George Scott	J:David Egan T:George Scott	137	—	32-242	72	79	21	29d	—	—	-5	9.5	1.50/1	7 14%
Placed in 4 of her 6 starts, notably a Southwell handicap in April; others appeal more
4 (2)	Belsito Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	137	—	501-43	72	82	56	18d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-1	8.2	1.75/1	8 13%
Two best runs have come over 5f at Redcar; fair mark if his stamina holds out
7 (3)	Talamanca Chestnut J:Ben Curtis T:Richard Spencer	J:Ben Curtis T:Richard Spencer	131	p	310-35	66	80	65	69d	—	—	-6	8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Three wins (6f, good to firm) last year; return to these conditions could spark a revival
5 (5)	Werenotreallyhere Bay J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	134	p	661513	69	81	48	8d	—	—	+11	20.3	2.25/1	10 10%
Two wins on heavy this year, including C&D; well held in 3rd back on fast ground last week
9 (12)	Granny B Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:John Quinn	J:Harrison Shaw T:John Quinn	129	—	52466-	64	79	75	248d	—	—	-1	7.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Didn't progress in nurseries last season; needs a career best back from an 8-month absence
6 (11)	Trabajo Detecho Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell	132	p	124135	67	81	45	35d	—	—	+7	14.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Front-runner; two AW wins this year; good 3rd at Doncaster in April; fast ground a ?
12 (1)	Mrs Trump Bay J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	127	—	556-54	62	79	47	19d	—	—	-3	5.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Good 4th at Ripon latest; still has low mileage and not discounted
2 (4)	Mount King Chestnut J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	137	t	27-244	72	76	47	18d	—	—	+3	6.3	6.75/1	28 4%
Down in trip and tried in a tongue-tie for his handicap debut; could take a step forward
11 (7)	Monte Forte Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	127	h	6808-7	62	66	63	58d	—	—	+2	3.5	24.75/1	100 1%
Hasn't progressed from his debut and needs the addition of a hood to have a major effect
10 (8)	Lupset Flossy Pop Bay J:Sam James T:Phillip Makin	J:Sam James T:Phillip Makin	129	b	13-877	64	72	-	17d	—	—	+2	3.9	24.75/1	100 1%
Back to a winning mark but she's been quiet so far this year; now blinkered

Horse	bet365	Coral
Hardy Angel	7/2	10/3
Just Janet	9/2	9/2
Dear Daphne	7	5
Belsito	7	8
Talamanca	9/2	15/2
Werenotreallyhere	10	17/2
Granny B	10	10
Trabajo Detecho	12	10
Mrs Trump	10	11
Mount King	25	28
Monte Forte	100	50
Lupset Flossy Pop	100	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Werenotreallyhere

20.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 13 Odds: 2.5

2nd

Trabajo Detecho

14.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 8.1 Odds: 2.2

3rd

Hardy Angel

10.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

7/2

Just Janet

9.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Dear Daphne

9.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

Belsito

8.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Talamanca

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 4

15/2

Granny B

7.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.1

Mount King

6.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Mrs Trump

5.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Lupset Flossy Pop

3.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Monte Forte

3.5

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Just Janet	72	81	49
Dear Daphne	72	79	21
Belsito	72	82	56
Mount King	72	76	47
Werenotreallyhere	69	81	48
Trabajo Detecho	67	81	45
Talamanca	66	80	65
Hardy Angel	64	79	42
Granny B	64	79	75
Lupset Flossy Pop	64	72	—
Mrs Trump	62	79	47
Monte Forte	62	66	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Werenotreallyhere	8d ago	Quick return
Just Janet	10d ago	Quick return
Lupset Flossy Pop	17d ago	Fit
Belsito	18d ago	Fit
Mount King	18d ago	Fit
Hardy Angel	19d ago	Fit
Mrs Trump	19d ago	Fit
Dear Daphne	29d ago	Fit
Trabajo Detecho	35d ago	Fit
Monte Forte	58d ago	Fresh
Talamanca	69d ago	Fresh
Granny B	248d ago	Long break