John Thomas McNamara Handicap – Listowel

Listowel

17:15

John Thomas McNamara Handicap

Date 2023-06-03

Distance 1m

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize €6,490

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (5)	Alfarida Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	144	—	-37421	64	59	39	2d	—	—	-1	25.6	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Just held on over 7f at Roscommon on Thursday; should stay 1m but stiff task off penalty
6 (11)	Amemri Bay J:W J Lee T:David Marnane	J:W J Lee T:David Marnane	132	—	4-0188	52	63	49	17d	—	—	-12	5.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Remains on a competitive mark but step up to 1m raises stamina concerns
7 (6)	Lady Skipper Bay J:Kyanna Van Buuren(10) T:Barry J Fitzgerald	J:Kyanna Van Buuren(10) T:Barry J Fitzgerald	132	—	95395-	52	66	52	246d	—	—	-9	6.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Reduced mark on first start for new yard so not one to rule out but trip likely her limit
10 (7)	Water Mint Bay J:Tom Kiely Marshall(7) T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Tom Kiely Marshall(7) T:Joseph G Murphy	128	—	69-082	48	61	37	24d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.50/1	7 14%
Gowran front-running second could take some beating if handling this quicker ground
4 (4)	Arancha Bay J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	136	p	8-79	56	53	29	56d	—	—	-4	3.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Cheekpieces tried for handicap debut and quicker ground could suit
11 (8)	Lightupthesky Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Kevin Prendergast	J:Chris Hayes T:Kevin Prendergast	127	t	0706-4	47	69	44	12d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Encouraging Roscommon return; improving and tongue tie added so could go well
8 (2)	Not Even Maybe Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Michael Mulvany	J:Gary Carroll T:Michael Mulvany	132	—	084258	52	67	50	2d	—	—	-7	7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Struggled on quicker ground at Roscommon on Thursday so others preferred now
2 (3)	Sunday Evening Bay J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Mrs John Harrington	138	p	007	58	57	38	17d	—	—	-1	3.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Hasn't featured in three maidens; cheekpieces on for handicap debut, may need more time
1 (1)	Ifitwasme Bay J:Conor McNamara(3) T:E Mcnamara	J:Conor McNamara(3) T:E Mcnamara	140	—	60-79	60	65	22	24d	—	—	0	3.6	5.25/1	22 5%
Flopped when well-backed at Gowran; down in trip and much quicker ground a concern
9 (10)	Pearl Of Malta Bay J:Conor Maxwell T:P F Odonnell	J:Conor Maxwell T:P F Odonnell	130	—	700-	50	63	33	213d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Nothing in 2yo maidens, can only be watched on handicap debut
5 (9)	Drop The Dip Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:Thomas Gibney	J:Gavin Ryan T:Thomas Gibney	135	—	880-80	55	64	29	31d	—	—	-10	5.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Needs to settle better; hard to fancy unless quicker ground brings about major improvement

Horse	bet365	Coral
Alfarida	11/4	2
Amemri	7/2	4
Lady Skipper	9/2	4
Water Mint	7	7
Arancha	9	17/2
Lightupthesky	17/2	8
Not Even Maybe	11/2	11/2
Sunday Evening	20	16
Ifitwasme	22	20
Pearl Of Malta	33	28
Drop The Dip	5	9/2

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Alfarida

25.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 14.1 Odds: 8

11/4

2nd

Not Even Maybe

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Lady Skipper

6.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Drop The Dip

5.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Amemri

5.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Arancha

3.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Ifitwasme

3.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Water Mint

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Sunday Evening

3.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Lightupthesky

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Pearl Of Malta

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Alfarida	64	59	39
Ifitwasme	60	65	22
Sunday Evening	58	57	38
Arancha	56	53	29
Drop The Dip	55	64	29
Amemri	52	63	49
Lady Skipper	52	66	52
Not Even Maybe	52	67	50
Pearl Of Malta	50	63	33
Water Mint	48	61	37
Lightupthesky	47	69	44

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Alfarida	2d ago	Quick return
Not Even Maybe	2d ago	Quick return
Lightupthesky	12d ago	Quick return
Amemri	17d ago	Fit
Sunday Evening	17d ago	Fit
Water Mint	24d ago	Fit
Ifitwasme	24d ago	Fit
Drop The Dip	31d ago	Fit
Arancha	56d ago	Fresh
Pearl Of Malta	213d ago	Long break
Lady Skipper	246d ago	Long break