Warwickshire Golf & Country Club Novices' Handicap Hurdle

Warwick

18:25

Date 2023-05-13

Distance 2m3f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,961

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	William Of York Bay J:Tristan Durrell(5) T:Dan Skelton	J:Tristan Durrell(5) T:Dan Skelton	168	t	7P011-	105	107	89	27d	—	—	+17	36	0.88/1	7/2 22%
2-2 since switched to a front-running role and he's open to more progress; big player
5	Kankin Chestnut J:Harry Bannister T:Alex Hales	J:Harry Bannister T:Alex Hales	161	—	/2523-	98	109	69	16d	—	—	+7	25.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Placed in his last two hurdle runs including over C&D latest; in the mix on handicap debut
3	Benefact Grey J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	164	—	5030-	101	105	66	52d	—	—	0	21	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Unexposed handicap newcomer and he needs watching in market for leading yard
2	Forget The Way Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	167	—	/3534-	104	104	83	70d	—	—	+6	20.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has had wind surgery and he looks a possible improver at this new trip
6	Talimar Pearl Grey J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	158	t	45992-	95	106	77	35d	—	—	+10	18.8	2.00/1	9 11%
Well held when runner-up at Newton Abbot last time and needs improvement back up in trip
8	Merveillo Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	150	—	P0805-	87	105	94	31d	—	—	+4	11.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Represents major connections but he's been tailed off switched to handicaps last twice
4	Hitthekettle Bay J:Chris Ward(3) T:Michael Gates	J:Chris Ward(3) T:Michael Gates	163	—	1/P94-	100	107	66	52d	—	—	+15	21.1	4.25/1	18 6%
Wasn't beaten far in a C&D novice last time and this is more realistic on handicap debut
9	Nordy Lordy Bay J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	142	—	0780P-	79	105	83	30d	—	—	+4	8.5	6.00/1	25 4%
Has struggled over hurdles and was pulled up on his handicap debut last month
10	Emberscombe Brown J:Bryan Carver T:Jeremy Scott	J:Bryan Carver T:Jeremy Scott	142	—	00/03-	79	95	31	78d	—	—	+4	8.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Soundly beaten in all four runs and is 6lb out of the weights on this handicap debut
11	Mistertommyshelby Bay J:Ben Poste T:Ryan Potter	J:Ben Poste T:Ryan Potter	142	—	56UP4/	79	-	-	484d	—	—	+5	8.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Nine-race maiden and this looks tough from out of the weights after a long absence
7	Of Corse I Can Grey J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	156	—	28600-	93	106	50	34d	—	—	+9	12.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Overall record of 0-9 and has struggled in both his handicaps; best watched for now

Horse	bet365	Coral
William Of York	7/2	10/3
Kankin	4	7/2
Benefact	11/4	3
Forget The Way	11/2	9/2
Talimar Pearl	8	9
Merveillo	12	11
Hitthekettle	16	18
Nordy Lordy	25	20
Emberscombe	33	33
Mistertommyshelby	40	50
Of Corse I Can	40	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

William Of York

OR: 13.8 Form: 16.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Kankin

25.2

OR: 12 Form: 8 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Hitthekettle

21.1

OR: 12.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

Benefact

OR: 12.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Forget The Way

20.9

OR: 13.5 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Talimar Pearl

18.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

Of Corse I Can

12.7

OR: 10.8 Form: 1 Odds: 1

Merveillo

11.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Emberscombe

8.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

Nordy Lordy

8.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

Mistertommyshelby

8.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
William Of York	105	107	89
Forget The Way	104	104	83
Benefact	101	105	66
Hitthekettle	100	107	66
Kankin	98	109	69
Talimar Pearl	95	106	77
Of Corse I Can	93	106	50
Merveillo	87	105	94
Nordy Lordy	79	105	83
Emberscombe	79	95	31
Mistertommyshelby	79	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kankin	16d ago	Fit
William Of York	27d ago	Fit
Nordy Lordy	30d ago	Fit
Merveillo	31d ago	Fit
Of Corse I Can	34d ago	Fit
Talimar Pearl	35d ago	Fit
Benefact	52d ago	Fresh
Hitthekettle	52d ago	Fresh
Forget The Way	70d ago	Fresh
Emberscombe	78d ago	Fresh
Mistertommyshelby	484d ago	Long break