Our Dawn Brodie Loves A Diamond Handicap – Nottingham

Nottingham

15:05

Our Dawn Brodie Loves A Diamond Handicap

Date 2023-05-13

Distance 5f8y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 5.42s (slow by 7.92s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Fortunate Star (IRE) Harrison Shaw · Declan Carroll	6/4F	Won
2nd	Family Ties (IRE) Graham Lee · Paul Midgley	9/1	5.5
3rd	Lumacho (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · George Boughey	4/1	2.5
4th	All In The Hips (IRE) Hollie Doyle · David Evans	11/2	2.25
5th	Colors Of Freedom (GB) Luke Morris · Archie Watson	25/1	2.5
6th	Agostino (GB) Hayley Turner · Robert Cowell	17/2	3
7th	Global Effort (IRE) Dylan Hogan · John Butler	13/2	1

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (6)	Fortunate Star Chestnut J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	128	—	043-52	63	82	66	17d	—	—	-18	12.6	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Clear second in 5f Catterick h'cap 17 days ago; up 4lb but he's still not taken lightly
2 (1)	Lumacho Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Boughey	J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Boughey	135	—	2195-3	70	77	66	39d	—	—	-5	13.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Off 5 months before solid Southwell 3rd; this 3-time 5f scorer is a player off easing mark
3 (2)	All In The Hips Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	134	—	516718	69	81	44	10d	—	—	+5	17.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won at Windsor in April but last at Wolver ten days ago; she needs to bounce back
5 (5)	Global Effort Chestnut J:Dylan Hogan T:John Butler	J:Dylan Hogan T:John Butler	134	—	2326-3	69	74	71	34d	—	—	-1	11.4	1.25/1	6 17%
Not disgraced sole run for Anthony Carson when third at Southwell; considered for new yard
1 (3)	Family Ties Bay J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	136	—	6054-6	71	79	70	40d	—	—	-1	7.8	2.00/1	9 11%
Encouraging return for new yard with Newcastle 6th; 2lb lower now so needs considering
4 (4)	Agostino Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Robert Cowell	J:Hayley Turner T:Robert Cowell	134	—	28209-	69	79	40	205d	—	—	+2	10.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Gelded/off six months ahead of return but yard is going well so he can't be ruled out
6 (7)	Colors Of Freedom Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	129	—	111767	64	79	41	10d	—	—	+4	10.1	3.75/1	16 6%
4-time 5f/6f AW scorer in winter but beat only one on turf debut at Brighton latest

Horse	bet365	Coral
Fortunate Star	7/4	7/4
Lumacho	7/2	7/2
All In The Hips	6	11/2
Global Effort	6	6
Family Ties	9	9
Agostino	10	17/2
Colors Of Freedom	12	16

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

All In The Hips

17.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 9 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Lumacho

13.2

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Fortunate Star

12.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

7/4

Global Effort

11.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

Agostino

10.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

Colors Of Freedom

10.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

Family Ties

7.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Family Ties	71	79	70
Lumacho	70	77	66
All In The Hips	69	81	44
Global Effort	69	74	71
Agostino	69	79	40
Colors Of Freedom	64	79	41
Fortunate Star	63	82	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
All In The Hips	10d ago	Quick return
Colors Of Freedom	10d ago	Quick return
Fortunate Star	17d ago	Fit
Global Effort	34d ago	Fit
Lumacho	39d ago	Fit
Family Ties	40d ago	Fit
Agostino	205d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Nottingham over 5f8y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.