Victor Lucas Memorial Handicap Hurdle – Market Rasen

Market Rasen

15:25

Victor Lucas Memorial Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-05-12

Distance 2m7f16y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £10,562

Winning Time 5m 57.30s (slow by 21.30s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Giovanni Change (FR) Tom Midgley · Mark Walford	5/1	Won
2nd	Zestful (GB) Brian Hughes · Martin Keighley	7/1	0.3
3rd	Sayadam (FR) David Bass · Kim Bailey	9/2	19
4th	Tanganyika (FR) Shane Quinlan · Venetia Williams	10/1	2.25
5th	Baddesley (IRE) Tom Cannon · Chris Gordon	12/1	0.3
6th	Hashtag Boum (FR) Henry Brooke · Ruth Jefferson	4/1F	1.5

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Ballintubber Boy (IRE) Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies	14/1
P.U.	Exmoor Forest (IRE) Sean Bowen · Nigel Hawke	17/2
P.U.	Some Scope (GB) Gavin Sheehan · Richard Hobson	11/2

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Sayadam Bay J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	169	t	/1343-	126	129	118	29d	—	—	+14	31.5	0.75/1	4 25%
Yet to finish out of the frame; creditable 3rd at 3m last time; acts on good/soft; player
7	Some Scope Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Richard Hobson	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Richard Hobson	155	—	15441-	112	126	118	34d	—	—	+17	31.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Off the mark on first try at 3m on h'cap debut last time; up 8lb; unexposed sort; chance
8	Hashtag Boum b/br J:Henry Brooke T:Ruth Jefferson	J:Henry Brooke T:Ruth Jefferson	153	—	02321-	110	125	118	25d	—	—	+22	35.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Off the mark when stepped up to 2m6f last time; 6lb higher; further progress likely at 3m
2	Giovanni Change Grey J:Tom Midgley(5) T:Mark Walford	J:Tom Midgley(5) T:Mark Walford	167	—	317P2-	124	130	111	—	—	—	+19	28.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
C&D winner in August; back from a break to win 2m5f Flat handicap last month; interesting
4	Tanganyika Bay J:Shane Quinlan(3) T:Venetia Williams	J:Shane Quinlan(3) T:Venetia Williams	160	—	8F416-	117	128	95	48d	—	—	+16	26	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Ex-French; won 2m3f handicap off 6lb lower in Feb; not so good last time; first run at 3m
5	Zestful Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Martin Keighley	J:Brian Hughes T:Martin Keighley	159	h	112-	127	126	118	22d	—	—	+28	39.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
In good form in 2023, last time finishing 2nd in 2m4f mares Listed novice; first run at 3m
3	Exmoor Forest Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Nigel Hawke	J:Sean Bowen T:Nigel Hawke	161	—	8934-1	118	125	103	11d	—	—	+22	29.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Won Warwick maiden hurdle on first try at 3m; stiffer task with penalty in better race
6	Ballintubber Boy Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	159	v	/1641-	116	130	99	80d	—	—	+25	31.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Two wins last term, including over C&D with headgear (retained); up 5lb; a chance
9	Baddesley Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Chris Gordon	J:Tom Cannon T:Chris Gordon	149	p	15P33-	106	128	94	33d	—	—	+15	22.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Sole win was over 2m4f, but close third in 3m chase two starts ago; headgear change

Horse	bet365	Coral
Sayadam	4	4
Some Scope	4/1	9/2
Hashtag Boum	9/2	5/1
Giovanni Change	15/2	15/2
Tanganyika	17/2	8
Zestful	6/1	6
Exmoor Forest	12	11
Ballintubber Boy	14/1	12
Baddesley	14	12/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Zestful

39.6

OR: 19.3 Form: 17 Odds: 3.3

6/1

2nd

Hashtag Boum

35.5

OR: 15 Form: 16.5 Odds: 4

5/1

3rd

Some Scope

31.9

OR: 15.5 Form: 12 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Sayadam

31.5

OR: 19 Form: 7.5 Odds: 5

Ballintubber Boy

31.2

OR: 16.5 Form: 13 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Exmoor Forest

29.1

OR: 17 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

Giovanni Change

28.7

OR: 18.5 Form: 7.6 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Tanganyika

OR: 16.8 Form: 6.6 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Baddesley

22.6

OR: 14 Form: 6.4 Odds: 2.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Zestful	127	126	118
Sayadam	126	129	118
Giovanni Change	124	130	111
Exmoor Forest	118	125	103
Tanganyika	117	128	95
Ballintubber Boy	116	130	99
Some Scope	112	126	118
Hashtag Boum	110	125	118
Baddesley	106	128	94

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Exmoor Forest	11d ago	Quick return
Zestful	22d ago	Fit
Hashtag Boum	25d ago	Fit
Sayadam	29d ago	Fit
Baddesley	33d ago	Fit
Some Scope	34d ago	Fit
Tanganyika	48d ago	Fresh
Ballintubber Boy	80d ago	Fresh
Giovanni Change	—	—