Download The At The Races App Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

14:05

Download The At The Races App Handicap

Date 2023-05-08

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 59.59s (slow by 2.69s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Dapper Man (IRE) Ben Curtis · Roger Fell	2/1F	Won
2nd	The Tron (GB) Morgan Cole · Derek Shaw	11/4	0.2
3rd	Primo (GB) Jonny Peate · Roger Fell	9/2	.5
4th	Show Me A Sunset (GB) Finley Marsh · Charlie Wallis	33/1	0.3
5th	Apache Star (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Mark Loughnane	5/1	.75
6th	Thegreatestshowman (GB) Ryan Kavanagh · Amy Murphy	18/1	0.2
7th	Snow Berry (IRE) David Egan · Michael Appleby	15/2	.5

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Dapper Man Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Roger Fell	J:Ben Curtis T:Roger Fell	137	b	-93122	60	72	53	4d	—	—	-2	25.3	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Followed up March's C&D win off 9lb lower with two solid efforts on turf; leading claims
7 (2)	The Tron Grey J:Morgan Cole(7) T:Derek Shaw	J:Morgan Cole(7) T:Derek Shaw	127	v	021346	50	71	49	13d	—	—	-7	10.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Boasts a poor strike-rate in handicaps and could only be labelled expensive to follow
4 (5)	Apache Star Brown J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Mark Loughnane	134	—	4-6833	57	69	60	30d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-11	7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won't mind the drop back to 5f, having had excuses with one thing and another; player
5 (4)	Snow Berry Bay J:David Egan T:Michael Appleby	J:David Egan T:Michael Appleby	131	p	082-54	54	69	59	97d	—	—	-8	4.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Back on her last winning mark; showed enough over C&D last time to suggest she can feature
6 (1)	Primo Bay J:Jonny Peate(5) T:Roger Fell	J:Jonny Peate(5) T:Roger Fell	130	—	-42087	53	68	66	4d	—	—	-5	4.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Dual C&D winner last autumn, latterly for Jonny Peate off the same mark; should do better
3 (7)	Thegreatestshowman Chestnut J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Amy Murphy	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Amy Murphy	135	b	8859-9	58	57	51	40d	—	—	-2	3.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Tumbled down the weights in the last year; again ran poorly back from a short break latest
2 (6)	Show Me A Sunset Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Charlie Wallis	J:Finley Marsh T:Charlie Wallis	135	tv	607038	58	68	61	18d	—	—	+2	4.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Down to a career-low mark but has lacked consistency this year

Horse	bet365	Coral
Dapper Man	2	15/8
The Tron	10/3	7/2
Apache Star	4	7/2
Snow Berry	6	11/2
Primo	7	15/2
Thegreatestshowman	14	14
Show Me A Sunset	33	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dapper Man

25.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 14.4 Odds: 8.4

15/8

2nd

The Tron

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 5.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Apache Star

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Primo

4.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Show Me A Sunset

4.9

OR: 2 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

Snow Berry

4.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Thegreatestshowman

3.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dapper Man	60	72	53
Thegreatestshowman	58	57	51
Show Me A Sunset	58	68	61
Apache Star	57	69	60
Snow Berry	54	69	59
Primo	53	68	66
The Tron	50	71	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dapper Man	4d ago	Quick return
Primo	4d ago	Quick return
The Tron	13d ago	Quick return
Show Me A Sunset	18d ago	Fit
Apache Star	30d ago	Fit
Thegreatestshowman	40d ago	Fit
Snow Berry	97d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 4f214y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.