Howden Insurance Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

17:15

Howden Insurance Handicap

Date 2023-05-06

Distance 6f

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £25,770

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (11)	Shaquille Bay J:James Doyle T:Julie Camacho	J:James Doyle T:Julie Camacho	132	h	1911-	94	111	88	154d	—	—	+16	37.2	0.50/1	3 33%
Only defeat came in a Group 3; unexposed as a sprinter and he looks well handicapped
10 (7)	Ferrous Grey J:Connor Beasley T:Jack Channon	J:Connor Beasley T:Jack Channon	120	—	31-26	82	106	87	16d	—	—	-12	16.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Shaped well on handicap debut here last month; more to come; each-way claims
NR (8)	Expert Agent Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	124	p	45-111	86	109	69	29d	—	—	+1	12.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
3-3 since gelded, all over 6f on AW; up in class but firmly on the up; contender
NR (9)	Eminency Grey J:Kieran Shoemark T:Clive Cox	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Clive Cox	124	—	2153-4	86	110	89	17d	—	—	-6	15.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Promise at two and his reappearance offered hope of much better this year; big player
NR (5)	Almaty Star Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	123	—	36-2	85	108	81	19d	—	—	+5	17.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Improved effort on his return at Kempton 19 days ago; more to come now handicapping
5 (4)	Washington Heights Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Kevin Ryan	J:Jamie Spencer T:Kevin Ryan	126	—	1223-9	88	108	96	14d	—	—	+2	12.4	1.75/1	8 13%
Low-key reappearance (albeit from poor draw) but a case can be made on his useful 2yo form
11 (1)	Chasseral Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	120	h	3331-	82	99	89	228d	—	—	+16	25.2	1.75/1	8 13%
Very easy winner on AW when last seen; more to come; interesting contender
6 (2)	Buccabay Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	125	—	81-3	87	97	83	19d	—	—	+6	14.5	2.50/1	11 9%
6f Ascot winner last summer; off until fair third over 7f last month; mark looks tough
4 (10)	Bonny Angel Bay J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	131	—	1168-6	93	100	94	15d	—	—	+5	12.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Progressive at two; pleasing return at Bath last month and returning to this trip a plus
1 (6)	Brave Nation Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Bell	J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Bell	135	—	1479-	97	96	77	259d	—	—	+12	15.8	5.25/1	22 5%
Easy win on debut & ran cracker at Royal Ascot; struggled final 2 runs in 2022; tough task
2 (3)	Tenjin Chestnut J:Adam Kirby T:John Ryan	J:Adam Kirby T:John Ryan	133	h	433086	95	105	37	1d	—	—	+10	13.6	8.00/1	33 3%
80-1 but ran well, beaten only just over 3l, in 7f Listed race at Newmarket on Friday

Horse	bet365	Coral
Shaquille	3	3
Ferrous	9/4	15/8
Expert Agent	11/2	11/2
Eminency	4	7/2
Almaty Star	13/2	13/2
Washington Heights	8	13/2
Chasseral	7	8
Buccabay	11	10
Bonny Angel	12	11
Brave Nation	18	22
Tenjin	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shaquille

37.2

OR: 11 Form: 20 Odds: 6.2

2nd

Chasseral

25.2

OR: 8 Form: 14.5 Odds: 2.7

3rd

Almaty Star

17.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Ferrous

16.9

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

9/4

Brave Nation

15.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

Eminency

15.5

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 6.5

7/2

Buccabay

14.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2

Tenjin

13.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

Bonny Angel

12.9

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Washington Heights

12.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Expert Agent

12.3

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Brave Nation	97	96	77
Tenjin	95	105	37
Shaquille	94	111	88
Bonny Angel	93	100	94
Washington Heights	88	108	96
Buccabay	87	97	83
Expert Agent	86	109	69
Eminency	86	110	89
Almaty Star	85	108	81
Ferrous	82	106	87
Chasseral	82	99	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tenjin	1d ago	Quick return
Washington Heights	14d ago	Fit
Bonny Angel	15d ago	Fit
Ferrous	16d ago	Fit
Eminency	17d ago	Fit
Almaty Star	19d ago	Fit
Buccabay	19d ago	Fit
Expert Agent	29d ago	Fit
Shaquille	154d ago	Long break
Chasseral	228d ago	Long break
Brave Nation	259d ago	Long break