Amy Mahon Handicap – Goodwood

Goodwood

16:20

Amy Mahon Handicap

Date 2023-05-05

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £6,621

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (2)	Island Star Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	132	—	66-1	77	86	51	30d	—	—	+3	22.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Backed when making winning stable debut on AW last month; this looks tougher but unexposed
1 (4)	Garrick Painter Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Tom Ward	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Tom Ward	135	—	32-1	80	90	-	72d	—	—	+7	21.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Progressive in three AW runs over the winter, winning easily over 1m latest; slow ground?
4 (5)	Man Of Eden Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Harry & Roger Charlton	135	—	633-16	80	92	86	16d	—	—	-1	10.8	1.50/1	7 14%
Winning stable debut at Newcastle in Jan; well beaten over 1m2f latest; needs full revival
8 (11)	Mudskipper Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:David Menuisier	J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:David Menuisier	132	—	623-4	77	91	62	23d	—	—	+1	9.1	2.00/1	9 11%
Weak finish (1m2f) on return but travelled well & his 2yo form offers hope of much better
10 (1)	Lunarscape Grey J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	131	—	710-2	76	88	80	18d	—	—	+5	14.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Good 2nd to a well-handicapped opponent on her handicap debut (1m, soft); more to come
7 (7)	Vecchio Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Freddie & Martyn Meade	J:Richard Kingscote T:Freddie & Martyn Meade	133	—	6424-	78	90	65	195d	—	—	+4	13	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Promise as a 2yo; step up to 1m could unlock further progress; been gelded; considered
11 (3)	Frequent Flyer Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	130	—	7220-5	75	91	68	21d	—	—	+1	8.2	2.50/1	11 9%
Twice a runner-up at Ffos Las last summer; stuck in the mud on return but was sent off fav
3 (10)	Skysail Chestnut J:Dougie Costello T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Dougie Costello T:Marcus Tregoning	135	b	210-	80	87	71	216d	—	—	+12	18.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Promise over 6f as a 2yo; bred to stay 1m and unexposed; addition of blinkers offputting
2 (6)	Raintown Grey J:Luke Morris T:J S Moore	J:Luke Morris T:J S Moore	135	—	73111-	80	89	-	125d	—	—	+26	32.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Ended 2022 with three AW wins; untried on turf but his dam was useful on slow ground
6 (8)	Saturnalia Bay J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	133	—	2142	78	90	-	37d	—	—	+13	20.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Progressive on AW; work to do with Garrick Painter but should be OK on turf; not ruled out
5 (9)	Chindwin Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Charlie Bennett T:Sylvester Kirk	134	—	667-	79	82	47	233d	—	—	+5	8.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
One fair run at Sandown but ended 2022 with poor run on soft; opening mark looks stiff

Horse	bet365	Coral
Island Star	7/2	10/3
Garrick Painter	5	9/2
Man Of Eden	7	6/1
Mudskipper	9	8/1
Lunarscape	7	15/2
Vecchio	9	17/2
Frequent Flyer	10	11
Skysail	11	14
Raintown	14	12
Saturnalia	11	12
Chindwin	20	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Raintown

32.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 22.9 Odds: 1.7

2nd

Island Star

22.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Garrick Painter

21.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Saturnalia

20.6

OR: 7 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.1

Skysail

18.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.7

Lunarscape

14.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Vecchio

OR: 7 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Man Of Eden

10.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Mudskipper

9.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Frequent Flyer

8.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Chindwin

8.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Garrick Painter	80	90	—
Man Of Eden	80	92	86
Skysail	80	87	71
Raintown	80	89	—
Chindwin	79	82	47
Vecchio	78	90	65
Saturnalia	78	90	—
Island Star	77	86	51
Mudskipper	77	91	62
Lunarscape	76	88	80
Frequent Flyer	75	91	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Man Of Eden	16d ago	Fit
Lunarscape	18d ago	Fit
Frequent Flyer	21d ago	Fit
Mudskipper	23d ago	Fit
Island Star	30d ago	Fit
Saturnalia	37d ago	Fit
Garrick Painter	72d ago	Fresh
Raintown	125d ago	Long break
Vecchio	195d ago	Long break
Skysail	216d ago	Long break
Chindwin	233d ago	Long break