Betsi Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Chelmsford (AW)

17:45

Date 2023-05-04

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £4,860

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (11)	Rogue Soldier Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom Clover	J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom Clover	130	—	5	-	-	-	14d	—	—	-41	20	—	—
Non-runner
7 (1)	American Belle Bay J:Robert Havlin T:James Fanshawe	J:Robert Havlin T:James Fanshawe	125	t	3532-2	76	93	82	28d	—	—	-9	20.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Maiden who has been placed in five of her six starts, coming closest over C&D latest.
1 (9)	Monte Linas Bay J:William Buick T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:William Buick T:Simon & Ed Crisford	137	—	1	-	82	51	14d	—	—	-10	18.9	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Promising debut when scoring over C&D; no surprise if he follows up under a penalty.
2 (6)	Bullet Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:David Menuisier	J:Marco Ghiani T:David Menuisier	130	—	6-	-	70	60	212d	—	—	-6	2.5	1.75/1	8 13%
14-1 when beaten 8l on debut; no surprise if he makes a significant step up on that.
8 (10)	Hildegard Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:Archie Watson	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Archie Watson	125	—	5	-	79	39	28d	—	—	-6	2.5	1.75/1	8 13%
Ran on late and showed ability no debut; no surprise if she comes on a fair bit for that.
6 (3)	Terwada Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Seventh foal; half-brother to three winners; dam 7f-1m winner; needs a market check.
4 (5)	Ravens Applause Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ed Dunlop	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ed Dunlop	130	—	73	-	81	49	7d	—	—	-1	4.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Close third here (6f) latest; half-brother to a 1m dirt winner; could improve again.
3 (4)	Flame Spirit Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:James Tate	J:Callum Shepherd T:James Tate	130	b	5-533	73	84	53	14d	—	—	0	7.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Looked like breaking his duck over C&D latest but lost two places late on; blinkers now.
9 (8)	Jophiel Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Jamie Osborne	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Jamie Osborne	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
First foal; dam unraced sister to Listed-placed 1m2f/1m4f AW winner El Misk.
10 (7)	Five Winds Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	123	—	43	-	73	46	16d	—	—	+1	3.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Raced freely and kept on to be 13l third latest; will need a big step up on that.
11 (2)	Ali Jewels Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Jarvis	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Jarvis	121	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
4,500gns yearling; fourth foal; half-sister to three winners; dam unplaced at 7f-1m1f.

Horse	bet365	Coral
Rogue Soldier	SP	SP
American Belle	15/8	7/4
Monte Linas	2	15/8
Bullet	8	8
Hildegard	8	8
Terwada	12	11
Ravens Applause	14	16
Flame Spirit	9	10
Jophiel	50	50
Five Winds	50	40
Ali Jewels	66	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

American Belle

20.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Rogue Soldier

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

3rd

Monte Linas

18.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 8.9

15/8

Flame Spirit

7.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Ravens Applause

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Five Winds

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

Bullet

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Hildegard

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Terwada

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Jophiel

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ali Jewels

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
American Belle	76	93	82
Flame Spirit	73	84	53
Rogue Soldier	—	—	—
Monte Linas	—	82	51
Bullet	—	70	60
Hildegard	—	79	39
Terwada	—	—	—
Ravens Applause	—	81	49
Jophiel	—	—	—
Five Winds	—	73	46
Ali Jewels	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ravens Applause	7d ago	Quick return
Rogue Soldier	14d ago	Fit
Monte Linas	14d ago	Fit
Flame Spirit	14d ago	Fit
Five Winds	16d ago	Fit
American Belle	28d ago	Fit
Hildegard	28d ago	Fit
Bullet	212d ago	Long break
Terwada	—	—
Jophiel	—	—
Ali Jewels	—	—