Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (GBB Race)

Ayr

14:25

Date 2023-04-22

Distance 2m

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £42,713

Winning Time 3m 43.04s (slow by 2.04s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Rubaud (FR) Harry Cobden · Paul Nicholls	7/2F	Won
2nd	Colonel Mustard (FR) Kieren Buckley · Mrs Lorna Fowler	9/2	3
3rd	Anna Bunina (FR) Ben Harvey · John C McConnell	13/2	1.25
4th	Parisencore (FR) Danny McMenamin · Nicky Richards	14/1	3.5
5th	Salsada (IRE) Patrick Wadge · Brian Ellison	11/1	1.5
6th	Milkwood (IRE) Sam Twiston-Davies · Neil Mulholland	14/1	5.5
7th	Soaring Glory (IRE) Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo O'Neill	8/1	2.5
8th	First Street (GB) Nico de Boinville · Nicky Henderson	6/1	.75
9th	Highway One O Two (IRE) Gavin Sheehan · Chris Gordon	7/1	3.75

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Royal Mogul (IRE) Brian Hughes · Donald McCain	50/1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Rubaud Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	151	h	-11201	135	154	134	56d	—	—	+25	44.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Useful when getting an easy lead on good ground but that scenario seems unlikely.
2	Colonel Mustard Chestnut J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:Mrs Lorna Fowler	J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:Mrs Lorna Fowler	162	—	37-422	146	152	135	49d	—	—	+12	28.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Third in last season's County and similar form back hurdling at Kelso; hard to knock.
1	First Street Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	166	t	5-1330	150	157	142	36d	—	—	+17	28.3	1.25/1	6 17%
On a recovery mission after two quiet runs but he's too classy to discount.
4	Soaring Glory Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	159	—	435-P5	143	157	100	112d	—	—	+16	26.1	1.50/1	7 14%
Had a quiet season so far but would be dangerous if returning to anything like his best.
5	Anna Bunina Bay J:Ben Harvey(5) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Ben Harvey(5) T:John C Mcconnell	158	t	960429	142	154	132	36d	—	—	+20	29.2	1.75/1	8 13%
Second and first in the last two runnings; highly credible ninth in the County last time.
NR	Leau Du Sud Grey J:Bridget Andrews T:Dan Skelton	J:Bridget Andrews T:Dan Skelton	147	t	21-433	131	152	134	49d	—	—	+14	22.6	1.75/1	8 13%
Solid placed form in strong handicaps the last twice and the type to rate higher still.
3	Highway One O Two b/br J:Gavin Sheehan T:Chris Gordon	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Chris Gordon	159	—	-21376	143	155	137	36d	—	—	+21	31.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Did well to finish sixth in the County Hurdle after forcing the pace throughout.
10	Salsada Chestnut J:Patrick Wadge(5) T:Brian Ellison	J:Patrick Wadge(5) T:Brian Ellison	146	tp	122-2	130	159	126	84d	—	—	+19	27.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Well handicapped if taking her latest second behind Epatante at face value; fresh.
6	Milkwood Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	154	—	-F244P	138	157	102	36d	—	—	+18	23.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Former winner of this and well handicapped; could go well if there's not much rain.
NR	Nemean Lion Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Kerry Lee	J:NON-RUNNER T:Kerry Lee	151	—	1231	135	155	-	49d	—	—	+30	42.2	1.75/1	8 13%
There's potential lurking off this mark and any rain would be beneficial.
12	Parisencore Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Nicky Richards	J:Danny McMenamin T:Nicky Richards	146	—	1-2152	130	150	143	77d	—	—	+23	28.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Likeable profile but this represents his toughest test yet from 4lb out of the weights.
11	Royal Mogul Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Donald Mccain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald Mccain	146	t	3-2121	130	146	117	65d	—	—	+20	23	8.00/1	33 3%
Two minor wins; 4lb 'wrong' for this severe hike in class and it looks a big ask.

Horse	bet365	Coral
Rubaud	10/3	10/3
Colonel Mustard	9/2	9/2
First Street	6	6
Soaring Glory	7	7
Anna Bunina	8	8
Leau Du Sud	8	8
Highway One O Two	15/2	15/2
Salsada	17/2	17/2
Milkwood	12	12
Nemean Lion	11/2	8
Parisencore	20	18
Royal Mogul	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rubaud

44.5

OR: 21.3 Form: 17.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Nemean Lion

42.2

OR: 21.3 Form: 17.6 Odds: 3.3

3rd

Highway One O Two

31.6

OR: 23.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Anna Bunina

29.2

OR: 23 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.7

Colonel Mustard

28.7

OR: 24 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Parisencore

28.4

OR: 20 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

First Street

28.3

OR: 25 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Salsada

27.4

OR: 20 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Soaring Glory

26.1

OR: 23.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Milkwood

23.6

OR: 22 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Royal Mogul

OR: 20 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

Leau Du Sud

22.6

OR: 20.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
First Street	150	157	142
Colonel Mustard	146	152	135
Soaring Glory	143	157	100
Highway One O Two	143	155	137
Anna Bunina	142	154	132
Milkwood	138	157	102
Rubaud	135	154	134
Nemean Lion	135	155	—
Leau Du Sud	131	152	134
Salsada	130	159	126
Parisencore	130	150	143
Royal Mogul	130	146	117

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
First Street	36d ago	Fit
Anna Bunina	36d ago	Fit
Highway One O Two	36d ago	Fit
Milkwood	36d ago	Fit
Colonel Mustard	49d ago	Fresh
Leau Du Sud	49d ago	Fresh
Nemean Lion	49d ago	Fresh
Rubaud	56d ago	Fresh
Royal Mogul	65d ago	Fresh
Parisencore	77d ago	Fresh
Salsada	84d ago	Fresh
Soaring Glory	112d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Anna Bunina	Prominent
First Street	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.