Globe Inn Chudleigh Novices' Handicap Chase – Exeter

Exeter

19:05

Globe Inn Chudleigh Novices' Handicap Chase

Date 2023-04-21

Distance 2m1f109y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £4,753

Winning Time 4m 22.10s (slow by 17.10s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Begin The Luck (IRE) Beau Morgan · Brian Barr	100/30J	Won
2nd	Opening Bid (GB) Bryan Carver · Chris Down	100/30J	3.75
3rd	Poet's Reflection (IRE) David Noonan · Linda Blackford	11/2	3.25
4th	Estate Italiana (USA) Philip Armson · Alexandra Dunn	9/1	10
5th	Greatest Star (FR) Connor Brace · Fergal O'Brien	10/1	.5
6th	Pencil (IRE) Paul O'Brien · Nicky Martin	9/1	2
7th	Mountain Grey (IRE) Daniel Sansom · Seamus Mullins	16/1	2.5

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Braveheart (IRE) Jack Tudor · Jamie Snowden	17/2
P.U.	Megalodon (IRE) Luke Scott · Paul Henderson	22/1
P.U.	Vin Rouge (IRE) Micheal Nolan · Seamus Mullins	20/1

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Begin The Luck Bay J:Beau Morgan(7) T:Brian Barr	J:Beau Morgan(7) T:Brian Barr	167	h	574231	97	104	94	13d	—	—	+13	32.1	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Good value for his length success at Newton Abbot and only 4lb higher.
1	Opening Bid Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Down	J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Down	168	h	22P133	98	-	-	42d	—	—	+10	27.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Running well over hurdles but he's suffered four heavy defeats as a chaser.
3	Braveheart Bay J:Jack Tudor T:Jamie Snowden	J:Jack Tudor T:Jamie Snowden	165	t	5-3144	95	104	97	135d	—	—	+3	14.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Winning chaser and he's not on a bad mark if wind surgery has done the trick.
6	Poets Reflection Bay J:David Noonan T:Linda Blackford	J:David Noonan T:Linda Blackford	152	—	304-62	82	101	95	22d	—	—	+1	10.7	1.75/1	8 13%
Returned from 330 days away to finish runner-up on her chase debut at Taunton.
4	Greatest Star Grey J:Connor Brace T:Fergal Obrien	J:Connor Brace T:Fergal Obrien	164	t	0-9092	94	-	-	45d	—	—	+4	13.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Latest 2nd over hurdles was best run for this yard and there are chasers in the family.
7	Mountain Grey Grey Roan J:Daniel Sansom(3) T:Seamus Mullins	J:Daniel Sansom(3) T:Seamus Mullins	150	—	57-5P7	80	-	-	82d	—	—	+1	10	2.00/1	9 11%
Reason to believe he could make a better chaser and gets in here off a low mark.
8	Estate Italiana b/br J:Philip Armson(3) T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Philip Armson(3) T:Alexandra Dunn	149	t	-8U415	79	101	93	39d	—	—	+9	15.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Ludlow winner two runs back; inconsistent but the ability is there to have a say.
5	Vin Rouge Chestnut J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	154	—	780-16	84	-	-	188d	—	—	+3	10.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Flat/hurdle winner and capable of a big run if taking to fences.
9	Pencil Chestnut J:Paul O'Brien T:Nicky Martin	J:Paul O'Brien T:Nicky Martin	146	h	-P00P3	76	73	54	22d	—	—	+4	9.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Has an unconvincing profile and his third at Taunton (chase debut) was very remote.
10	Megalodon Bay J:Luke Scott(7) T:Paul Henderson	J:Luke Scott(7) T:Paul Henderson	142	b	3PP549	72	104	83	46d	—	—	+1	7.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Could make an impression off this mark if putting best foot forward.

Horse	bet365	Coral
Begin The Luck	4	7/2
Opening Bid	4	7/2
Braveheart	13/2	13/2
Poets Reflection	8	8
Greatest Star	8	15/2
Mountain Grey	9	9
Estate Italiana	12	12
Vin Rouge	10	12
Pencil	14	14
Megalodon	11	16

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Begin The Luck

32.1

OR: 11.8 Form: 14.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Opening Bid

27.9

OR: 12 Form: 10.7 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Estate Italiana

15.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 6.6 Odds: 1.9

Braveheart

14.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Greatest Star

13.7

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Poets Reflection

10.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Vin Rouge

10.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Mountain Grey

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Pencil

9.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 1.7 Odds: 1.7

Megalodon

7.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Opening Bid	98	—	—
Begin The Luck	97	104	94
Braveheart	95	104	97
Greatest Star	94	—	—
Vin Rouge	84	—	—
Poets Reflection	82	101	95
Mountain Grey	80	—	—
Estate Italiana	79	101	93
Pencil	76	73	54
Megalodon	72	104	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Begin The Luck	13d ago	Quick return
Poets Reflection	22d ago	Fit
Pencil	22d ago	Fit
Estate Italiana	39d ago	Fit
Opening Bid	42d ago	Fit
Greatest Star	45d ago	Fit
Megalodon	46d ago	Fresh
Mountain Grey	82d ago	Fresh
Braveheart	135d ago	Long break
Vin Rouge	188d ago	Long break